In a new report, Toward Risk Thresholds for AI-Enabled Cyber Threats: Enhancing Decision-Making Under Uncertainty with Bayesian Networks — a team of researchers with the Center for Long-Term Cybersecurity’s Artificial Intelligence Security Initiative (AISI) — Krystal Jackson, Deepika Raman, Jessica Newman, Nada Madkour, Charlotte Yuan, and Evan R. Murphy — propose a structured approach for developing and evaluating AI cyber risk thresholds. Their approach relies on the use of Bayesian networks (BNs), a type of probabilistic modeling tool that can help determine thresholds by integrating a wide range of information about both the world and AI systems.