April 20, 2016

CLTC To Release Cybersecurity Scenarios for 2020 at National Press Club

On April 28, the UC Berkeley Center for Long-Term Cybersecurity (CLTC) will release “Cybersecurity Futures 2020,” a series of five scenarios detailing possible futures for humans and technology in the year 2020.

Written as forward-looking narratives, these scenarios explore pressing issues such as the vulnerability of personal data in the online age, advances in predictive algorithms, the Internet of Things, digital sensing of human emotions, the security risks of a collapsing technology industry, and more.

Among the questions considered are: How might individuals adapt to a world in which all online activity is assumed to be accessible by hackers? How could the proliferation of networked appliances, vehicles, and devices transform human society? And what would be the consequences of powerful algorithms capable of predicting human behavior at a granular scale?

“Scenario thinking is not an attempt to predict the future or create one single focus for a research agenda,” says Professor Steven Weber, Director of CLTC. “Scenario thinking focuses on how trends from different causal directions intersect with each other to create discontinuities and change the shape of the system under study. This is where new research and action ideas develop.”

On April 28, Weber, together with Betsy Cooper, Executive Director of CLTC, will present the five scenarios at a public event at the National Press Club, in Washington D.C. They will be joined by leading technology thinkers—including Jeff Moss, founder of Black Hat and DEF CON security conferences; Walter Parkes, an award-winning film producer whose credits include War Games and Minority Report; Phyllis Schneck, one of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s chief cybersecurity officials; Nathaniel Fick, CEO of cybersecurity company Endgame; and Ed Felten, Deputy Chief Technology Officer of the United States—to discuss the scenarios as part of a broader conversation about the future of cybersecurity. The event will be moderated by Michael B. Farrell, Editor, and Sara Sorcher, Deputy Editor, of the Christian Science Monitor‘s Passcode.

This event will be live-streamed on http://www.csmonitor.com/world/passcode. You can also follow the conversation on Twitter via #cyber2020 and follow the CLTC at @CLTCBerkeley. Following the event, the CLTC will soon post a report detailing the scenarios here on our website: http://cltc.berkeley.edu.

If you are interested in attending this event on April 28, please register below.